NewsSurprise Decline in Unemployment Causes 10-Year Treasury Yield to Soar

Surprise Decline in Unemployment Causes 10-Year Treasury Yield to Soar

Treasury yields soared ⁣on Friday following​ the​ release of ⁣the November ‌jobs report, which revealed an unexpected​ drop in the unemployment‍ rate. This suggests ongoing ⁤tightness in the labor ⁤market, despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool the⁢ economy.

The 10-year Treasury note yield⁢ surged by ⁢10 basis points to 4.233%,​ recovering ‌from earlier losses when it dipped to 4.14% earlier in the week. ⁢This marks the highest levels seen since early September.

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Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury ⁣yield also rose, by over ⁣14 basis points to 4.725%.

Yields and prices ‍have an inverted relationship, with one⁤ basis point equaling⁢ 0.01%.

The‌ November U.S. jobs‍ report demonstrated continued resilience in the ⁢labor market. Nonfarm payrolls in the ⁣U.S.⁢ increased by 199,000 last month, exceeding the 190,000 jobs predicted by economists surveyed by Dow Jones,⁤ and surpassing the October gain of ​150,000.

Additionally, the unemployment rate dropped to 3.7%, ⁣compared to the forecasted 3.9%.

Stephanie Link, chief ⁤investment strategist at Hightower Advisors,‍ told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Friday that, “‘The⁤ data today,⁣ and ‌the data all⁢ week long, supports ‘soft landing.’ ‌There’s no question‌ about​ it.”

Investors have been anticipating economic​ data signaling a potential easing of the economy, as⁢ this would possibly signify the end​ of the Fed’s rate-hiking‍ cycle and provide clarity on when rates may be‍ cut.

Last week, ‌Fed Chairman Jerome Powell‌ stated that it was “premature” to​ speculate​ about rate cuts, and the central bank would ‌tighten monetary policy further if necessary. The Fed’s⁣ upcoming meeting next week ⁤is expected to ‍keep interest rates unchanged.

Earlier ⁢in the week, ADP’s private payrolls report for November showed that 103,000 jobs were added, lower ⁣than the 128,000 ⁤estimate. Additionally, weekly initial jobless claims figures came in⁢ lower than expected.

— CNBC’s Jeff ​Cox contributed to ​this report.

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