Labor has a blowout lead in South Australia, with the election in March 2026. The federal party has also expanded its lead in a Morgan poll.
The South Australian state election will be held in March 2026. A DemosAU and Ace Strategies poll
for InDaily, conducted October 6–15 from a sample of 1,006, gave Labor a 66–34 lead (54.6–45.4 to Labor at the March 2022 election).
Primary votes were 47% Labor, 21% Liberals, 13% Greens and 19% for all Others. If this poll was replicated at the election, on a uniform swing the Liberals would be reduced to three to six of the 47 lower house seats, with leader Vincent Tarzia losing his seat.
This poll suggests the SA 2026 election will be the second biggest landslide to one party at a state or federal election, with only the 2021 Western Australian election ahead, which Labor won by 69.7–30.3. A YouGov SA poll in May gave Labor a 67–33 lead.
Labor incumbent Peter Malinauskas led Tarzia by 58–19 as preferred premier. Respondents were asked if they had a positive, neutral or negative opinion of various politicians. Malinauskas was at net +35 positive, while Tarzia was at net -15.
Despite Labor’s dominance, the state government had net negative ratings from -32 to -42 for its handling of housing, the algal bloom, hospital ramping and cost of living.
Upper house voting intentions in this poll were 37% Labor, 17% Liberals, 12% One Nation, 11% Greens and 4% for each of Animal Justice, Legalise Cannabis and SA-Best. Of the upper house seats, 11 of the 22 will be up for election using proportional representation with preferences.
Queensland Resolve poll has Labor retaining its lead
A Queensland state Resolve poll for The Brisbane Times, conducted with the September and October federal Resolve polls from a sample of 868, gave the Liberal National Party 33% of the primary vote (down one since August), Labor 32% (steady), the Greens 10% (steady), One Nation 9% (up one), independents 7% (down one) and others 8% (up one).
Resolve doesn’t usually give a two-party estimate for its state polls. The Poll Bludger estimated Labor would lead by 51.5–48.5.
While Queensland Premier David Crisafulli’s popularity is down in the polls, he still leads as preferred premier.
Russell Freeman/AAP
LNP premier David Crisafulli’s net likeability dropped three points since August to +17, while Labor leader Steven Miles was down one point to -2. Crisafulli led as preferred premier by 39–22 (40–25 previously).
The previous Queensland Resolve poll had Labor in a far better position than two Queensland polls taken in July that gave the LNP big leads. There haven’t been any statewide Queensland polls since July other than Resolve.
A Redbridge and Accent Research poll only of southeast Queensland for the Courier Mail, conducted in October from a sample of 1,013, gave Labor a 52–48 lead in that region (50.3–49.7 to the LNP in this region at the 2024 election).